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Why There Might be a W Shape Economic Recovery?
Currently, most analysts are of the view that the global economy recovery will be “V” Shape, fast recovery. However, a few months ago I warned that it is possible for a W Shape economic recovery. In recent weeks, both Tharman (Singapore’s Finance Minister) and Prime Minister Lee also warned of the possibility of a double dip recession. Why is a double dip recession (W shape recovery) possible? Let’s look at the BIG picture. Do you know that U.S. alone accounts for 24% of the Global Economy? While Euro Zone accounts for another 30%. Many people are celebrating that China’s economy might be able to grow at 8% (what they Aimed for) in year 2009. However, do you know that China’s economy currently only accounts for 7% of the World economy? What about India you might ask? Sorry to disappoint you, India accounts for only 2%. So even if BOTH China and India economy do well and stage a fantastic recovery, the 2 of them would account for 9% of the Global Economy.
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